Monday, September 22, 2014

ΟΡΓΑΝΙΣΜΟΣ ΙΣΛΑΜΙΚΗΣ ΔΙΑΣΚΕΨΗΣ: ΕΝΙΣΧΥΣΗ ΝΕΟΘΩΜΑΝΙΚΗΣ ΑΝΘΕΛΛΗΝΙΚΗΣ ΠΟΛΙΤΙΚΗΣ

της Αντωνίας Δήμου
(Σύμβουλος στο Ινστιτούτο Ευρωπαϊκών και Αμερικανικών Σπουδών (RIEAS) και εταίρος στο Κέντρο για την Ανάπτυξη στη Μέση Ανατολή του Πανεπιστημίου της Καλιφόρνια, Ηνωμένες Πολιτείες)


Copyright: Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication Date: 8 September 2014

Η 41η Διάσκεψη των ΥΠΕΞ του Οργανισμού Ισλαμικής Διάσκεψης (ΟΙΔ) που πραγματοποιήθηκε στη Τζέντα της Σαουδικής Αραβίας από τις 18 έως τις 19 Ιουνίου 2014 εξέδωσε δύο αποφάσεις που λήφθηκαν από την ολομέ-λεια του Οργανισμού, οι οποίες εγγίζουν άμεσα την Ελλάδα και την Κύπρο. Η πρώτη απόφαση φέρει τίτλο «η Κατάσταση στην Κύπρο» (Res. No19/41 POL), και η δεύτερη τιτλοπορείται ως: «η Κατάσταση της Τουρκο-μουσουλμανικής Μειονότητας στη Δυτική Θράκη και του Μουσουλμανικού Πληθυσμού της Δωδεκανήσου» (Res. No 3/41-MM)..... Read more

Monday, September 1, 2014

NATIONAL SECURITY & ANALYSIS IN THE MEDITERRANEAN REGION - RIEAS

The Research Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS) organized the 1st Executive Security Training Seminar entitled: "National Security and Intelligence Analysis in the Mediterranean Region". The training seminar, which took place in an Athenian hotel on 7th-10th July 2014, is part of the activities that are planned, implemented and supported organizationally by the Research Institute for European and American Studies... Read more

Conference Proceedings; 
Edited by Antonia Dimou 
                      & 
Antonia Chatzopoulou




PREFACE

The Mediterranean is a geopolitically significant region which is, however, overwhelmed by security problems considered as vital ranging from interstate conflicts, intrastate crises and transnational threats with most prominent the proliferation of conventional and mass destruction weapons, cyber-warfare and terrorism. A comprehensive approach to security in the Mediterranean, including hard security-soft security integration and civil-military-private sector coordination is the key to stability.  

If the imperative for concord over instability prevails, then the dividents that will accrue in the entire Mediterranean will be multifold.  What some of the threats to stability present, the level of their complexities and whether they can be coped  efficiently under the current regional exigencies as evidenced in Syria and Libya, have led to the formation of the agenda of the 1st training executive seminar of the Research  Institute for European and American Studies.

An underlying theme of the seminar has been security as a prerequisite for foreign direct investment that can help overcome the legacies, psychological and otherwise that have burdened the Greek and other regional economies for so long. As it is widely acknowledged, issues of national security related to poor governance affect international economic transactions and have become more complicated after September 11th, 2001 when the term was expanded to include human security in the context of international trade.

Equally primary topic has been the presentation of the challenges related to CBRN risks and the illegal export of sensitive military technology as well as the outline of a series of effective strategies to mitigate risks through coordination of different national agencies like the intelligence communities, and cooperation between regional countries and international organizations. 

In articulating their presentations, instructors made no pretense to providing answers to complex issues addressed. As the chairman of the executive seminar noted in his concluding remarks, “instructors treated their topics with sincerity and clarity, and thus increased our understanding of the complex issues involved”.

This precisely has been the goal of the Research Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS). In the context of its training activities, RIEAS sustains keen interest in the affairs of the Mediterranean region and supports a holistic approach to security encouraging cooperation and dialogue to identify contemporary risks and provide solutions.

The current publication of the summary of the conference proceedings serves as guide to the instructors’ information sharing and presentations with focus on the multi-dimensional challenges facing the Mediterranean.

Be that as it may, challenges still lie ahead…


Antonia Dimou,                                                                                                               Editor                                                                                                                          
August 2014

Thursday, August 28, 2014

INTELLIGENCE AND BUILDING OF DEMOCRACY IN JORDAN

By Antonia Dimou
(RIEAS Senior Advisor and Associate at the CSS, University of Jordan)


Reproduced by the Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication Date: 27 August 2014)

The relationship between democracy and the character of secret intelligence presents a composite two-sided puzzle. On the one side, the very concept of democracy demands that an intelligence agency serves democratic interests by providing one country's security and preparedness against potential threats both internal and external. The core notion is that a stronger country can turn itself into a heaven where democracy can continue to be practiced. On the other side, intelligence investigative methods in many countries occur outside the context of democratic control and oversight mechanisms, thus surfacing an inherent conflict.

That said the role of intelligence in the building of democracy and political stability in the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan is crucial. Jordan, strategically located in the Middle East, presents a long-run import-export relationship. On the one hand, Jordan, a country of few natural resources, imports oil products and natural gas to meet its energy needs. On the other hand, Jordan exports a valuable resource which is security in terms of intelligence, geographic security, and stability...... Read more

Monday, August 25, 2014

Antonia Dimou: "Jordan and the Security Challenges of the Arab Spring"



*Speech delivered in the context of the 2013 Annual IIHA Conference that was organised in Athens, 21-23 June 2013.  

Friday, August 22, 2014

Interview excerpts

Interview excerpts of Antonia Dimou, Associate at the CSS-University of Jordan, with Ana Blazevic for Nova TV in Croatia.





Hoćemo li raditi do 67 godine života?
Prijedlozi MMF-a za Hrvatsku nisu nimalo popularni. Zato smo pričali s radnicima, sindikalistima, ekonomskim stručnjacima, ali i stanovnicima Zambije i Jordana.


(Translation) Are we going to work up to 67 years of age?
IMF suggestions for Croatia are not at all popular. So we talked with workers, unions, economic experts, but also residents of Zambia and Jordan.

For more view at:

http://provjereno.dnevnik.hr/clanak/provjereno/hocemo-li-raditi-do-67-godine-zivota.htmlhttp://provjereno.dnevnik.hr/clanak/provjereno/hocemo-li-raditi-do-67-godine-zivota.html

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

ENRICHING THE MIDDLE EAST’S ECONOMIC FUTURE CONFERENCE 14TH DOHA FORUM (MAY 12-14, 2014), QATAR


PrintE-mail
Copyright: Research Institute for European and American Studies, 
Athens, Greece


Dr. John Nomikos, Director of RIEAS and Ms Antonia Dimou, senior RIEAS 

advisor participated in the 14th Doha Forum and Enriching the Middle
East's Economic future conference which wrapped up ceremonies on 
the 14th of May, concluding two days of talks which focused on the 
year’s international economic developments. 

Held at Ritz Carlton-Doha, the Forum co-sponsored by the Center for 

Middle East Development of the UCLA attracted 700 high-profile 
delegates from around the world including a number of business 
leaders. 

Doha Forum and Enriching the Middle East's Economic future conference 

convened a workshop at Al Mukhtasar-1 titled "Eastern Mediterranean 
Energy Discoveries: Opportunities and Challenges" moderated by 
Ms Dimou and with Dr. Nomikos being one of the major speakers.  














Photo No 1:

Workshop on East Med energy - Family speakers photo: 

From R to L: John Gauci-Maistre, Chairman, GM Corporate and Fiduciary 

Services, Saadet Gülden Ayman, Chair, International Relations 
Department, University of Istanbul, Antonia Dimou, senior RIEAS advisor,  
Antoine Haddad, Director, Dar al-Tanmiya Ltd., Yiorghos Leventis, 
Director, International Security Forum.






















Photo No 2:

Workshop on East Med energy - Speakers Panel: 

From R to L: Dr. John Nomikos, RIEAS Director, Saadet Gülden Ayman, 

Chair, International Relations Department, University of Istanbul, 
Antonia Dimou, senior RIEAS advisor, Yiorghos Leventis, Director, 
International Security Forum, Antoine Haddad, Director, 
Dar al-Tanmiya Ltd., John Gauci-Maistre, Chairman, GM Corporate and
Fiduciary Services.

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

EAST MEDITERRANEAN ENERGY DISCOVERIES:OPPORTUNITIES FOR GREECE AND EUROPE

Antonia Dimou
(Center for Strategic Studies (CSS), University of Jordan & RIEAS Senior Advisor)

John Nomikos
(RIEAS Director)

Copyright: Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) based in Athens, Greece. (Publication Date: 13 April 2014).





The energy findings of the East Mediterranean could ensure Europe’s energy security in terms of alternative supply sources and delivery routes. Of particular importance in the European energy security context is that a size-able proportion of confirmed discoveries are situated in the Exclusive Economic Zone of Cyprus, a EU member state, while more discoveries are on the way. ....Read more


http://rieas.gr/images/tonia15.pdf

Tuesday, April 8, 2014

The Clock is Ticking on Jordan’s Media and Press Reforms

By Antonia Dimou

April 3, 2014 5:00 am

Published in Sharnoff's Global Views, http://www.sharnoffsglobalviews.com/jordan-media-reforms-256/

Copyright: Sharnoff's Global Views

jordan-media-city

     Credit: Jordan Media City

Jordan’s speedy and practical steps to unleash genuine media and press reforms aim to reflect the Kingdom’s vision of comprehensive modernization and development.

The Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan has one of the most open press and media sectors in the Middle East. Since the early days of the Arab Spring, Jordan has engaged in reforms intended at active citizenship and better governance.
The case of Jordan confirms that the relationship between press, media and political reforms is evolutionary. Political reforms entail a process of dialogue, inclusion and institution-building that needs time to flourish and likewise, the enabling environment for effective press and media takes time to develop.
The introduction of the new amended Jordanian constitution in 2011 was in line with the kingdom’s guarantee of freedom of speech and expression, and provided the amendment of the Press and Publications Law of 1998 that entered into force in June 2013 with the aim to enhance the media and press environment.
Realistically, Jordan hosts several independent newspapers, and the government has a majority stake in major daily Al-Rai, and a minority stake in the second largest in circulation nation-wide daily Al-Dustour.
The Kingdom also hosts the Jordan Media City that was launched in 2001 as the first private media city in the region with the aim to provide the regional and international media industry with state of the art technologies. Satellite dishes are allowed, and pan-Arab news channels remain popular.
Reportedly, 97 percent of households in Jordan have a television set and of those, 90 percent have satellite dishes. Networks like al-Jazeera and al-Arabiya with broadcast coverage of the political discourse and developments in the Arab world reach Jordanian viewers. The use of internet has increased and reportedly, more than 35 percent of the population has access to the web.
Legal amendments
With a royal stamp, amendments to the Press and Publications Law primarily dealt with the regulation of websites accessible in Jordan. Specifically, amendments intended to regulate websites, hold the responsible parties accountable, and place an obligation on individuals or entities interested in covering Jordan’s internal and external news to register and get licensed, lowering registration fees from JD 10,000 to JD 1,000.
Amendments contained four major changes to the original Press and Publications Law of 1998, starting with Article 49 which requires that all electronic publications, irrespective of their location of operation that publish news, press reports and comments relevant to the domestic or external affairs of Jordan must be registered and licensed with the Department of Press and Publications “by virtue of the Director’s decision.”
Article 49 provides that if an electronic publication is found to be in violation of the amended Law, the Director has the authority to block the pertinent website and close its administrative offices located in Jordan.
The second major amendment has been that of Article 38 which prohibits the publication of material that offends religious beliefs, and expands the notion of individual dignity by prohibiting the publication of “anything that includes contempt, slander, or defamation of individuals or affects their personal freedom.”
The third amendment that was made to Article 48 of the Press and Publications Law imposes a lower fine on Periodical Publications that are issued without a license, foreseeing that Publications which violate the Law will be fined an amount not less than one thousand dinars and not more than five thousand dinars.
Last but not least, the fourth major amendment provides that tribunals have jurisdiction over Press and Publications Law cases related to crimes committed either in violation of the Press and Publications Law, or against the domestic and external security of Jordan.
A new era of reform?
The amended legislation has been viewed as an institutionalized reform. Arguably, the operation of news websites and community radio stations has pushed the Kingdom’s overall reform envelope and favored the media’s engagement with local issues.
News websites have begun to focus on feature stories, provide analysis and demand action when problems are brought into the open, arousing public interest and interaction. In practical terms, the press and the media have started to act as magistrate getting rid of the stigma of one-sided news coverage by reporting extensively on cases of domestic corruption.
Most representative corruption case that was covered by the online and printed press was the one of a former intelligence chief. According to online and printed articles, Jordan’s former head intelligence for the period of 2005-2008 was sentenced to 13 years in prison on charges of embezzling public funds, money laundering and abuse of office.
The 2012 amendments to the Press and Publications Law of 1998 have meant to enhance the media and press environment. However, critics argue that implementation suffers from arbitrary classification and distribution of information by different ministries and state institutions.
Critics also complain that while the outlets for news have increased, they are often blocked from obtaining information on government policies and officials. Concurrently, there is a prevailing belief among local journalists that a “soft containment” policy is pursued by business entities in an attempt to dominate the media sector.
A recent survey conducted by Al Quds Centre for Political Studies showed that methods of soft containment on journalists are practiced by businessmen with a percentage of 69, influential figures with a percentage of 32.2, and civic society organizations with a percentage of 31.
In a coordinated effort to address press and media reform gaps, the Lower House’s Public Freedoms Committee currently works to revisit several laws governing the media, and the freedom of expression to come up with new amendments. As stipulated by the Constitution, it is feasible for the Jordanian legislative bodies to repeal or amend by October 1, 2014, all law, regulations and legislative acts relating to the constitutional amendments.
It is in this context that Jordan’s parliamentary committee has formed several teams to study the Press and Publications law in collaboration with the Jordan Press Association, the Centre for Defending the Freedom of Journalists, the government, the National Centre for Human Rights, and media entities to study the loopholes in the law and come up with a unified vision on how best to enhance press and media reforms.
The parliamentary committee also looks into the contention of various articles, including the one that gives the Press and Publications Department director the authority to block news websites that do not obtain licences in accordance with the law.  Reportedly in 2013, the access to some 250 websites was blocked as they did not register and obtain a license with the Press and Publications Directorate.
The committee also looks into technical issues like that of cancelling an article which conditions that news websites must be run by an editor-in-chief who has been a member of the Jordan Press Association for at least five years.
Looking towards the future
Undoubtedly, Jordan’s speedy and practical steps to unleash genuine media and press reforms aim to reflect the Kingdom’s vision of comprehensive modernization and development. It is in this context that Jordan engages in constant dialogue with international agencies and organizations.
A conference titled “Legal Media Dialogue” was held at the Dead Sea in March 2014 with the participation of lawmakers, journalists and legal experts to test the resolve of all stakeholders to improve freedom of the press.
Interestingly in 2013, the UN Universal Periodic Review of Jordan’s human rights record issued 18 recommendations, of which 15 were accepted by the government, substantially calling for cancelling or amending articles in the Penal Code that impose restrictions on the freedom of expression, and on amending the Press and Publications Law to ensure the full protection of freedom of speech.
Additionally, Jordan cooperates closely with the EU which previously funded UNESCO’s project titled “Enhancing Professional and Accurate Media Reporting on the Electoral Process,” and currently has extended support for a 4-year project entitled “Support to Democratisation, Civil Society and Media in Jordan.”
Notably, under an EU-Jordan agreement for the period 2013-2014, the European Commissionwill provide €10 million to Jordan to support civil society and the media. The agreement aims at strengthening democracy in Jordan through increased participation of citizens in political life and through building capacity for an independent, quality based media sector.
Similarly, Jordanian authorities and civil society coordinate with the US Agency for International development to implement the Jordan Media Strengthening Program that aims to promote sustainable and professional media system that provides citizens the information and news necessary to participate effectively in political institutions.
The program offers training opportunities for professional journalists, encourages sustainable media management practices such as for community radio, promotes skills amongst mid-career journalists, and provides targeted advice to regulatory authorities and policy makers to formulate a legal environment conducive to media reforms.
Evidently, Jordan is offered the golden opportunity, as result of preparation, consistent work, and dedication, to create blooming of reforms in the press and the media whose ability to bring about accountability and transparency is the bedrock of democratic evolutions, with no shortcuts permitted.

Saturday, April 5, 2014

Jordan's Energy Policy Key to Its Economy

By Antonia Dimou
Published by Worldpress, March 31, 201

     Al Zaatari Refugee Camp in September 2013. (Photo: Bidna Capoeira)
Copyright: Worldpress
The crisis in Syria and the challenges of a changing Egypt continue to drive Jordan's politics and economics related to energy. Jordan is a flambeau of stability in a turbulentregion, but repeated and extensive disruptions to natural gas deliveries from Egypt due to the damage of the Sinai pipelineas well as the continuing flow of Syrian refugees have pushed Jordan to the verge of a financial crisis. These factors have compelled the kingdom to use more expensive fuel to maintain domestic energy supplies, and have complicated the roadmap for economic development.
Rising energy consumption coupled with decreasing security of energy supply, alongside the Syrian refugee crisis, have impacted Jordan's annual budgets and broader development goals. Pressure has increased on scarce national resources, especially with the influx of Syrians, who need electricity and gas, commodities considered as basic needs. According to official estimates, subsidy allocations are expected to rise to $1.79 billion for electricity and $180 million for household gas annually.
Additional pressures on energy systems are expected in coming years. As result of the Syrian crisis, Jordan's national resilience plan for 2014-2016 foresees an additional power demand in cities with an estimated capital investment of $337.5 million. New electricity power allocations valued at $14 million in capital costs and $5.6 million per month in operational costs are predicted for the Zaatari refugee camp. For expanding access to water in the camp, which sits over Jordan's largest aquifer, there is demand to power two artesian wells that have already been drilled, under a monthly operational cost of $122,000. To avert power shortages on a national level, the need for additional capacity for electricity in 2013 led Samra Electric Power company to set up a gas turbine with an installed capacity of 146 MW at an estimated cost of $110 million.
Jordan's economy has been hit hard by exogenous shocks that have adversely affected energy and foreign direct investment, thus widening the budget deficit and slowing growth. For the return of fiscal and energy policies to a sustainable path, with simultaneous protection against additional shocks, Jordan has exercised a multi-fold policy in coordination with international institutions and allies. Jordan pledged for financial assistance from the IMF under a 36-month Stand-by Arrangement (SBA), which provides liquidity of $2 billion between 2012 and 2015 and supports a socially acceptable fiscal consolidation. Under the IMF program, to achieve energy pricing reform and liberalization of the entire energy sector, the kingdom minimized fuel subsidies, raised electricity prices for industrial consumers and began raising power prices for households through a phased program. Concurrent measures, however, were taken to protect low- and medium-income households with the raise of public-sector wages and pensions, while low-income earners in the private sector received a separate compensation scheme.
The United States stood solidly behind Jordan's efforts to weather the Syrian crisis and its negative impact on fiscal and energy policies. Last year the U.S. Congress approved a $1.25 billion loan guarantee for Jordan, and is expected to authorize an additional $1 billion in loan guarantees for 2014. Under a loan guarantee, the United States essentially acts like a co-signer on loans, and would be responsible for repaying the principal and interest should Jordan default. Overall, the traditional annual supplemental funding, the cost of the loan guarantees and U.S. funding to the kingdom for 2013-2014 will reach nearly $2 billion, which translates into a 3 percent spur in per-capita GDP.
Signs of recovery appeared in 2013, with a 20 percent rise in investment, improved confidence in the currency, a near doubling of reserves to $12 billion in one year alone and a revival of exports. Jordan's economic growth rate is expected to climb to 5 percent in 2016 from an estimated 3 percent for 2014. The budget deficit is expected to be slashed to 4 percent of GDP in 2014 from 8 percent since 2011, excluding foreign aid. Enforced economic policies aim to reduce the public debt to a manageable 60 percent of GDP, equivalent to Jordan's level before the 2011 crisis, which elevated debt to the current level of 75 percent. 
Jordan's case shows the importance of applying structural reforms with the support of international institutions and major allies. The kingdom's objective to increase energy security and diversify energy resources, as envisaged in the 2013 National Efficiency Action Plan, focuses on the expansion of renewable energy from 1 percent of the energy mix in 2010 to 10 percent by 2020, with 20 percent energy efficiency expansion by 2020. Renewable energy options will support solar lighting solutions, thus minimizing electricity operational costs. For the period 2014-2016, the plan calls for deployment of 38,000 solar water heaters in residences, 3 million energy-efficient lights in buildings and the construction of a 10MW solar facility.
A liquefied natural gas terminal will be constructed in Aqaba that will reduce dependency on gas supplies from Egypt and reduce the costs of electricity generation starting in 2015. The construction of modern conventional generation plants is being fast-tracked. Jordan aims not only to alleviate economic pressures from the growing domestic energy consumption, but also to become a major energy transit hub between the region and Africa. Jordan recently signed a deal with Egypt and Iraq to extend an oil pipeline from Iraq's Basra to Egypt via Jordan's Aqaba. Egypt is allegedly prepared to receive Iraqi oil at its refineries and facilitate exports to Sudan and other African countries. Under the agreement, an additional pipeline will be built to connect the under-construction LNG terminal in Aqaba with the Arab Gas Pipeline that stretches from El Arish in Egypt to the north of Jordan and continues through Syria to Lebanon. The pipeline willtransfer gas to power-generation plants in Jordan along the pipelineas early as 2015.
On a separate deal with Iraq, the existent pipeline linking the two countries is projected to export 2.25 million barrels of Iraqi oil per day through Jordan, thus generating $2 billion to $3 billion per year in revenues for the kingdom, while Iraq is committed toprovide Jordan with oil at preferential prices. Additionally, Noble Energy, a heavy U.S. investor in Israel's fields, signed a contract worth $500 million to supply 66 billion cubic feet of gas from Israel's Tamar field to Jordan's Arab Potash and its affiliate Jordan Bromine. The sale of Israeli gas to Jordan falls within the kingdom's broad strategy for transformational change in energy supply, including the diversification of liquefied natural gas imports from alternative sources in the region. 
Undoubtedly, energy can serve as game changer, at the nexus of economics and geopolitics. Jordan's pursuit of economic reforms and energy security present a major challenge. But with the challenge comes an opportunity that could lead to a better future for the kingdom's people and its coming generations.

Wednesday, April 2, 2014

Thursday, December 26, 2013

SNAPSHOTS

(AHI Institute in Washington D.C.)
                                       (Speaker at IIHA Conference)


With Chris Pelaghias, president of ERPIC and amb. Panagiotis Makris, f. Head of the Center for Analysis & Planning (MFA) in Prague




                Monograph entitled "The Crisis in Syria and Options for the Future", 2013 - Copyright: RIEAS


                                                       

Always great to participate in regional meetings in search of viable political solutions.. 


With prof. Spiegel in Doha back in May 2013


    

Major Meetings in Qatar
   


Book Release on "The Crisis in Syria: Diplomacy, Regional Challenges and Options", Copyright: ISDA



(Intervention at Intelligence Squared Greece Event)

Friday, November 22, 2013

JORDAN’S FLOWERFUL ARAB SPRING: POLITICAL AND PRESS REFORMS

By Antonia L. Dimou*, 


(Photo from: www.kinghussein.gov.jo)


ABSTRACT

The wave of pro-democracy protests that swept across the Arab world has stricken like an earthquake that is changing the ground underneath. The protests have been dubbed the “Arab Spring”. It is a spring that supported the notion that Arab people crave freedom, democracy, justice, economic reforms and the right to demand accountability from their governments.

The successful uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt that ended in the removal of longtime regimes have inspired the people of the region to seize the opportunity of taking the future into their own hands. Historically speaking, what has happened is without precedent in the Arab world. For the first time, Arab countries illustrated the potential of spontaneous democracy, or more accurately, democratisation from within.

Given that, the present analysis focuses on the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan whose position as a bridge between the Levant and the Persian Gulf provides it a unique geopolitical standing in the Middle East. Admittedly, out of the turbulent events in the region, Jordan took practical steps to unleash a political reform process to widen public participation in decision making, icluding the promotion of free speech, and to strengthen pillars of democracy.

The Arab Spring has affected Jordan and set off the wind of major political and economic reforms that will be presented with focus on the freedom of Press, as they offer a historic opportunity to observe the birth of the new from the old, and provide a momentum of transformation where the idea of democracy advances as the best solution for politically handling multiple in-country interests and structures.


A. Jordan’s Spring of Reforms: All-time Classic Focus

Jordan is a moderate country strategically located in the heart of the Arab world governed under the political system of constitutional monarchy.The kingdom has been motivated by the momentous events in Tunisia and Egypt, which inspired protests on Jordanian soil demanding economic and political reforms. Jordanian protests are led by the Islamic movement and by a popular protest movement that allegedly encompasses the National Front of Reform, and the four tribe coalition which represents the Kingdom’s major four large tribes namely the Bani Hassan, the Bani Sakher, the al-Da’aja and the Al-Ajarme considered the backbone of the Kingdom.

However, the major differentiation of the Jordanian events from those in the rest of the Arab world is that protestors have asked for reform of the current system, not its abolition.

Jordan has an important record on reform initiatives which were delayed due to major regional events. Most prominent were the 2003 American military campaign against Iraq, the 2005 parliamentary elections in Egypt where the Muslim Brotherhood secured 20 percent of the seats, the November 2005 bombing of three hotels in Jordan by an armed wing of al Qaeda based in Iraq that killed 60 Jordanian nationals, the 2006 elections in the West Bank and Gaza where Hamas won the majority of parliamentary seats, and the 2007 Hamas takeover of the Gaza strip.

Additionally, reform initiatives were impeded by the reality of demographics in Jordan. The Jordanian-Palestinian "split" in the country has arisen as result of the forced migration of Palestinians who fled to Jordan, acquired nationality and citizenship, and now constitute about half of the population. Palestinian fears that reforms could potentially lead to the stripping of their rights, as well as Jordanian worries that any reform process may lead to the political empowerment of Palestinians who may attempt to create an alternative Palestinian homeland in Jordan, presented a major setback to last decade's reform initiatives. In other words, for a significant segment of the Jordanian society, political reforms and democratization equals Palestinization. However, this is a major challenge. In reality, the two peoples can easily remain united in the struggle for a political system based on justice, freedom, equal opportunities and individual rights. In a system that restores power to the masses, while maintaining Jordanian and Palestinian identities and dealing intelligently with the political reality, Jordan's people can be united.[1]

Notably, in the pre-Iraq war period, the Kingdom initiated the “Jordan First-Al Urdun Awlan” campaign, which attempted to articulate a comprehensive vision of economic and political reforms. The initiative provided the formation of a national committee to deal with different economic and political issues and debated five distinct themes, namely the possibility of establishing a constitutional court; the introduction of a parliamentary quota for women; the enactment of anti-corruption measures; the drafting of a new political parties law with the aim of ending the state of fragmentation among political parties; and, the setting of rules to cover relations between civil society, professional organizations and the state.

Equally significant reform initiative was the 2005 Jordanian National Agenda, a blueprint for political, economic and social reforms that envisioned approaching the reform process in a holistic, rather than a piecemeal, way. The committee of the National Agenda consisted of representatives from political parties including the Muslim Brotherhood, the parliament, civil society, women activists, the media, the government and the private sectors, and reached recommendations in three interdependent areas, namely the economic and social policies, basic rights and freedoms, and state infrastructure. In the field of political reforms, the National Agenda proposed new laws to open up elections and prevent discrimination against women. In July 2006, the government of then Prime Minister Maarouf Bakhit assembled a forum of 700 participants over a two-day period to address the political, economic and social challenges facing the Kingdom. Capitalizing on the findings of the National Agenda, participants produced the "We Are All Jordan – Kulna al Urdun" document. The document was a clear attempt at political reform and selected a list of fifteen priorities. The major three were loyalty and nationalism, sovereignty of the state and the protection of national interests, and national security. The Bakhit government undoubtedly showed significant legislative initiative. Specifically, in November 2006, it passed an anti-corruption law that established an anti-corruption committee with broad powers. The law notably included in its definition of corruption actions related to nepotism (wasta).[2]

Coming to today's situation, the Jordanian leadership took speedy and practical steps to unleash a deep political reform process to reflect Jordan's vision of comprehensive reform, modernization and development. The chief of reform measures was the introduction of a new constitution that came into force on October 10, 2011, and included amendments to 42 constitutional articles that met certain central demands of the Jordanian protest movement. Most prominent was the establishment of a constitutional court and an independent elections oversight commission, and the provision that the dissolution of the parliament entails the dissolution of the government. A major concession was also the curtailing of some of the King’s powers with most representative, the revoke of his power to cancel parliamentary elections.[3]

It is deemed that these reform measures have not satisfied the opposition overall, most prominently, the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood which has the ability and the political infrastructure to mobilize the streets. Sensing that it is empowered by the events in Libya and Egypt, and also by the crisis in Damascus since the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood reportedly plays a significant role as part of the outside opposition, the movement in Jordan demands for more extensive changes including the instate of a prime minister and a government elected by the people, the abolition of the King-appointed senate or alternatively, the instate of a senate elected by the people, the safeguard of the Judicial Council’s independency and the enact of a new elections law[4].
The so far refusal of the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood not to participate in government and the political decision-making process in general, despite repeated official invitations, is estimated that it is dictated by the fact that people will start to expect solutions.[5] Once the movement runs government institutions and its members become ministers, then people will start to question their policies and outcome. Failure to deliver in the context of the actual decision-making may take away some of their legitimacy and popularity, therefore, so far avoidance to joining governments is translated into lack of urgency or need to govern and deliver on that.[6] The best example of this position is the failure of the Islamic movement of Hamas to deliver and its consequent declined popularity in Gaza.
Jordan envisions becoming a model of democracy, and though the manifestation of major past regional events led to the delay of the reform process, nowadays, the reality is reversed. The current wind of reforms that has blown up the entire region from Morocco to the Gulf accelerates Jordan’s long-time commitment to reforms and democratization. Concurrently at this critical time where the main factor of the revolutionary wave of protests is attributed to rising poverty and unemployment[7], a promise of economic gains has been extended to Jordan by the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) to join the organization. Relatively poor and facing high unemployment and yawning budget deficits, Jordan could benefit from concessional prices for oil and gas, better access for its citizens to work in the Gulf, and financial assistance. Jordan, run by a Sunni Muslim monarchy, some 750 miles from the Gulf, has a per-capita GDP of 5,300 dollars, while, by comparison, Saudi Arabia GDP per capita is 24,200 dollars.[8]

Massive protests in two of its member states urged the GCC to agree to provide Oman and Bahrain 10 billion dollars each over a decade in order to meet protesters' demands for higher living standards. This reality has created a precedence that Jordan may be looking for similar assistance. Enriched by climbing oil prices, the Gulf monarchies have been able to respond to their internal wave of protests with generous aid programs for their already-wealthy populations. Saudi Arabia alone has committed to spending 125 billion dollars, but in Jordan, the King has no alternative other than to increase deficit spending to cover the cost of handouts at a time when the Kingdom's economy is suffering under the weight of slow growth and higher global prices for food and energy. It is no secret that repeated interruptions in the pipeline delivering Egyptian natural gas to Jordan has forced the Kingdom to ration electricity and increase its import bill.

Therefore, the accession of energy-poor Jordan to the ranks of the predominantly oil-rich bloc of Gulf nations could offer an avenue for financial support for the Kingdom, while the political symbiosis in the Gulf club is the latest reflection of how the widespread protests in the Arab nations are reshaping the political landscape of the volatile Middle East.


B. Jordan’s Spring on Free Press and Media

Jordan has responded instantly to the Arab Spring by establishing mechanisms that aim to create new spark of reforms in the field of the Press and the Media, which can be translated into realities on the ground, and lead to the blossoming of democracy.  

The ability of the Press to bring about accountability and transparency is the bedrock of democracies on a global level. A radiant spotlight on the impact of the Arab Spring on free speech was evidenced recently in the 2013 World Press Freedom Index as released by the France-based non-profit organization Reporters without Borders. Interestingly, countries that have successfully overthrown their once repressive regimes lack media pluralism and have much to account with regards to free speech.[9]

Coming to Jordan, media freedoms have improved in the Kingdom in the wake of the Arab Spring, while after more than two years since Arab Spring protests erupted, media activists in Jordan acknowledge that a boost is given to the freedom of the press, and journalists have started tackling issues that used to be taboo in the past.

Jordan hoasts several independent newspapers, and the government has a majority stake in major daily Al-Rai, and a minority stake in the second largest in circulation nation-wide daily Al-Dustour. Additionally, the Kingdom hosts the Jordan Media City (JMC) that was launched in 2001 as the first private media city in the region with the aim to provide the regional and international media industry with state of the art technologies. Specifically, JMC envisions to becoming the leading media hub in the region, to uplink television channels to cover the world, and towards this end, JMC awarded a multi-million US dollar contract to supply equipment and software for the operation of ninety playout channels and one hundred back-hauled channels.[10] 

The 2003 Audio Visual Law ended the government monopoly on broadcasting, and the Kingdom’s first privately owned television channel was launched as a pilot project in 2007, but later stalled. Satellite dishes are allowed, and pan-Arab news channels remain popular. The use of internet has increased and reportedly, more than 35 percent of the population had access to the web in 2011. Jordanian blogs have also continued to flourish throughout the recent years with several ones having become the focal point for the organization and the evolvement of popular protests.

The Press and the media in Jordan have been close to the Arab Spring winds. According to a special report issued by the Center for Defending the Freedom of Journalists (CDFJ) in May 2011, there has been increase in media freedom during the Arab Spring. As cited in the report, 15.4% of journalists find that media freedom has increased significantly, compared to the nearly 0% who thought so in previous reports. The report also acknowledged that one of the main gains of the Arab Spring, as far as the media is concerned, is that journalists broke the barrier of fear while reporting on local developments.

In line with the Jordanian constitution’s guarantee of freedom of speech and expression, the Jordanian government amended the Press and Publications Law No. 8 of 1998 in 2012 with the aim to enhance the media and Press environment.  With a royal stamp on the law, amendments to the Press and Publications Law have attempted to make online media register with the Press and Publications Department and towards this end, registration fees were lowered from JD10,000 to JD1,000.[11]

The Amendments have primarily dealt with the regulation of websites accessible in Jordan. Many consider that Amendments were needed to regulate websites, hold the responsible parties accountable, and place an obligation on individuals or entities interested in covering Jordan's internal and external news to register and get licensed like those in the print press.[12]

Amendments have contained four major changes to the original Press and Publications Law of 1998, starting with Article 49 which thereon requires that all Electronic Publications that publish news, press reports, press releases, and comments relevant to the domestic or external affairs of Jordan must be registered and licensed with the Department of Press and Publications “by virtue of the Director’s decision”.[13] The registration and license requirements apply to all Electronic Publications irrespective of their location of operation. The Amendment of Article 49 has placed an affirmative duty on Electronic Publications to monitor content to ensure that it does not contain false information or information unrelated to the subject of the news. If an Electronic Publication is found to be in violation of the Press and Publications Law or its Amendments, the Director has the authority to block the pertinent website and close its administrative offices located in Jordan.

The second major amendement has been that of Article 38 which prohibits the publication of material that abuses a recognized religion, content that offends or insults Prophets, content that insults religious beliefs, and expands the notion of individual dignity by prohibiting the publication of “anything that includes contempt, slander, or defamation of individuals or affects their personal freedom”.


The third amendment that was made to Article 48 of the Press and Publications Law imposes a lower fine on Periodical Publications that are issued without a license, foreseeing that Periodical Publications which violate the Press and Publications Law will be fined an amount not less than one thousand dinars and not more than five thousand dinars. However, more significantly, the Amendments allow the Director of the Press and Publications Department to shut down outlets and institutions that issue Periodical Publications in violation of the Press and Publications Law. Such Periodical Publications can be confiscated and subsequently prohibited from further issuance.

Last but not least, the fourth major amendment provides that tribunals have jurisdiction over Press and Publications Law cases related to crimes committed; (i) in violation of the Press and Publications Law; (ii) in violation of the Press and Publications Law (whether through print or audio-visual media); and (iii) against the domestic and external security of Jordan.

In line with the reform promises that the government made at the height of the popular protests in Jordan in 2011, the amembed legislation has been viewed as an institutionalized reform. Since then, the Press and the media have acted as magistrate getting rid of the stigma of one-sided news coverage by reporting and op-editing extensively on cases of domestic corruption. Most representative corruption cases that were covered by the online and printed press were those of former intelligence chief Mohammed al-Dahabi, and business tycoon Khaled Shahin. According to online and printed articles, Jordan's former head intelligence for the period of 2005-2008 was sentenced to 13 years in prison on charges of embezzling public funds, money laundering and abuse of office. As reported by the Jordanian press, the court in Amman fined him approximately 30 million dollars, and ordered him to return the 34 million dollars he allegedly laundered and embezzled during his time in office.[14] The second case of corruption that was disclosed in detail by the Jordanian Press was that of Khaled Shahin, a businessman convicted in a case related to the Jordan Petroleum Refinery Company (JPRC) expansion project, and who served three years in prison for bribery.[15]

The 2012 amendments to the Press and Publications Law of 1998 have undoubtedly contributed to enhancing the media and press environment however critics argue that implementation suffers from arbitrary classification and distribution of information by different ministries and state institutions. Critics also complain that while the outlets for news have increased, they are often blocked from obtaining information on government policies and officials. Concurrently, there is a prevailing belief amongst local journalists that a “soft containment” policy is pursued by business entities in an attempt to dominate the media sector. A recent survey conducted by Al Quds Centre for Political Studies showed that methods of soft containment on journalists are practiced by businessmen with a percentage of 69, influential figures with a percentage of 32.2, and civic society organizations with a percentage of 31.[16]

In a coordinated effort to address gaps and Press freedom violations, a group of deputies submitted in early February 2013 a memorandum to re-amend the Press and Publications Law of 1998.[17] In their motion, deputies called on the government to scrap various articles, including the one that gives the Press and Publications Department director the authority to block news websites that do not obtain licences in accordance with the law. The memo also addressed technical issues like that of removing an article which conditions that news websites must be run by an editor-in-chief who has been a member of the Jordan Press Association for at least five years.[18]

Undoubtedly, Jordan’s speedy and practical steps to unleash genuine media and Press reforms aim to reflect the Kingdom’s vision of comprehensive modernization and development in a way that can be translated into realities on the ground and provide a blueprint for a better future for the Jordanian people.


EPILOGUE

In the often tumultuous politics of the Middle East, the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan has traditionally steered a cautious and successful course in international relations largely relying on conservative foreign and domestic policies.

The momentum events of the Arab Spring have swept across the region and have stricken like an earthquake that is changing the ground underneath. In response, Jordan capitalized on its own record of past reform initiatives, and accelerated a genuine political reform process including those of the Press and media reforms with the aim to prepare the ground for comprehensive democracy.  As Arab Spring events unfold, Jordan is offered the golden opportunity to turn itself into a model of democracy and provide a prospectus for a better future not only for its own people, but for the people of the entire region.


ENDNOTES



[1] For a broad overview, See Rosemary Hollis, Khalil Shikaki and Mustafa Hamarneh, Jordanian-Palestinian Relations: Where To?, Royal Institute of International Affairs, London, 1997

[2] Antonia Dimou, “Spring of Reforms for the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan”, Worldpress (News and Views from Around the World), June 12, 2011.

[3] http://www.filmirsad.com/, August 18, 2011

[4] Interview with Ruheil Gharaibe leading figure of the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood, Amman, November 30, 2011

[5] The Islamic Action Front, the political branch of the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood, calls for the formation of an emergency government to carry out “urgent reforms” reiterating demands for wider constitutional amendments. The demand comes amidst ongoing negotiations between Islamists and decision-makers over the former’s participation in the political process, widely viewed by observers alike as key to the legitimacy of any upcoming elections. Taylor Luck, “Jordan’s Islamists Call for a Salvation Government”, Jordan Times (Daily), Decemebr 17, 2011

[6] Interview of Ibrahim Saif with Ekaterina Kudashkina, Voice of Russia, October 19, 2011.

[7] King Abdallah said in an interview with the Washington Post that “The Arab Spring did not start because of politics; it started because of economics – poverty and unemployment… What keeps me at night is the economic situation because if people are going to get back on the streets, it is because of economic challenges, not political”, The Washington Post, October 24, 2011

[8] “The Revolution Index: The State of Middle East States”, February 4, 2011, CIA World Factbook, Congressional Research Service, UN data, US Census Bureau, and Transparency.org

[9] The press freedom index that Reporters Without  Borders publishes every year measures the level  of freedom of information in nearly 180 countries.  It reflects the degree of freedom that journalists,  news organizations enjoy in each country, and the efforts made by the authorities to ensure respect for this freedom. The Index is based partly on a questionnaire that is sent to partner organizations (18 freedom of expression NGOs located in all five continents), to a  network of 150 correspondents, and to journalists, researchers, jurists and human rights activists.

[10] For more on the Jordan Media City,
See: http://www.jordanmediacity.com/en/7/JMC

[11] This is provided by the amendment of Article 48 of the Press and Publications Law of 1998. More than 80 news websites, out of over 475, have already registered

[12] For more on Jordan’s Amendments to the Press and Publications Law, See http://www.tamimi.com/en/publication/publications/section-3/october/jordans-amendments-to-the-press-and-publications-law.html

[13] The Director being the General Director of the Department of Press and Publications.

[14] Khaled Neimat, “Former Intelligence Chief Sentenced to 13 Years in Jail”, Jordan Times, November 11, 2012

[15] Khaled Neimat, “Court Extends Jail Term of Business Tycoon”, Jordan Times, November 27, 2012

[16] Jordanian Media Monitor, Survey on “Soft Containment and Its Effect on the Independence of the Media”, Al-Quds Center for Political Studies, accessed at: http://alqudscenter.org/uploads/Soft_Containment_3.pdf

[17] Hani Hazaimeh, “MPs Call for Amending Press Law”, Jordan Times, February 11, 2013

[18] Licensing responsibilities for television and radio are shared between the Council of Ministers, the Audio Visual Commission (AVC), and the Telecommunications Regulatory Commission (TRC). The Council of Ministers is responsible for granting, revoking, and renewing licenses, but does so based on the recommendations of the AVC.


* The article was first published at the Journal of Mediterranean and Balkan Intelligence (JMBI), Vol 1, No 1, June 2013, Copyright JMBI