Tuesday, June 5, 2012

Doha Forum Workshop on "Why Did Greece Collapse?" - Opening Remarks


By Antonia Dimou, Chair of the Workshop


Members of the Workshop on “Why Did Greece Collapse?” From Right to Left;  Alexander Moraitakis, president of NUNTIUS Financial Company, Sven Behrendt, Founder and Managing Director, Geo Economica, Switzerland, Prof. Nikolaos Milonas of the National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Ms Antonia Dimou, ISDA and CMED of the UCLA, and Prof. Panayiotis Petrakis, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens


Economists and market analysts have offered various explanations as to why a failure of the Greek economy would have drastic impact on the European and United States economies. Within these explanations, terms such as Gross Domestic Product, Sovereign Debt, and derivatives are used, which at times can be quite confusing to someone who is not educated in finance or economics. Wrapped up in these complicated terms this special session will attempt to explain why Greece has collapsed - or let us put it in the right frame, if Greece has actually collapsed - and why a failure of the Greek economy would have a negative if not chaotic effect on Greece itself, the EU and the US.

This session will address some of the most critical questions that dominate the political and economic thinking nowadays both in Greece and in Europe. We will examine the scenario of a Greek exit from the euro-zone and if Greece pulls out of the euro, what will that mean for the single currency, what would that mean for the status of Portugal, Italy, Spain, Ireland as well as the attitude of the markets even towards France. What would European policymakers do at the moment of a possible Greek exit to persuade investors and depositors that Greece was the exception proving the rule of euro-unity? Is it utopian to expect member states to default and remain within the euro-zone, and why is that so? According to some experts, “default, partial or otherwise, is an essential part of the necessary debt-reduction programme”. 

The question is: How should a rescue package be organised centrally and in a manner that deflates the debt-recession crisis, rather than inflame it further? We will also hear from our speakers if there is a Proposal coming either from Greece or Europe which can ensure fiscal stability. As you know, Greece heads in less than a month to new elections to produce a government which government will almost certainly press to renegotiate the country's bail-out terms. 

Therefore, it will be interesting to listen in this session if there is a Greek Plan that exchanges greater fiscal discipline for an Investment-led Recovery Program.


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